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Exeter City vs Accrington ST

25 March 2023 at 15:00St James Park, Exeter, Devon

Match Summary

Exeter City defeated Accrington ST 5:0. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2012

Exeter City vs Accrington ST Head to Head Results· 13

Exeter City and Accrington ST have met 13 times — Exeter City won 7, Accrington ST won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Exeter City leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 37 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.85 per match (21 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (54%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Exeter City are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2015.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
37 · 2.8/match
Both scored
7/13 · 54%
Over 2.5
7/13 · 54%

Recent Meetings

27/08/22League One
Match Details
14/04/18League Two
Match Details
25/11/17League Two
Match Details
11/03/17League Two
Match Details
20/08/16League Two
Match Details
23/01/16League Two
Match Details
19/09/15League Two
Match Details
03/01/15League Two
Match Details
28/11/14League Two
Match Details
29/03/14League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Accrington ST show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Exeter City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Mar 202322/231.71/3.71/5.03
Match Details
27 Aug 202222/232.71/3.54/2.51
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 58.6%Draw 27.0%Away 19.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.703.505.00
Max1.723.875.10
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Exeter City · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.1%24.9%18.9%
Public market55.8%25.3%19.0%

Exeter City vs Accrington ST — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Exeter City
Result vs. Market: Exeter City (59%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Exeter CityHalf-time:10Accrington ST
18Shots4
11Shots on target0

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Exeter City

W 100D 85L 137
Over 2.548
Goals scored371

Away Record: Accrington ST

W 70D 57L 92
Over 2.551
Goals scored262

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026