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League OneSeason 2023

Oxford United vs Port Vale

2 September 2023 at 15:00The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
Referee: S. Purkiss

Match Summary

Port Vale defeated Oxford United 2:1. The match was played in League One 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Oxford United vs Port Vale Head to Head Results· 10

Oxford United and Port Vale have met 10 times — Oxford United won 5, Port Vale won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Oxford United leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.60 per match (14 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (30%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Oxford United are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2022.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
26 · 2.6/match
Both scored
3/10 · 30%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Meetings

16/03/24League One
Match Details
10/04/23League One
Match Details
12/11/22League One
Match Details
03/11/17FA Cup
Match Details
17/04/17League One
Match Details
22/10/16League One
Match Details
02/03/13League Two
Match Details
15/10/12League Two
Match Details
05/05/12League Two
Match Details
29/10/11League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 40 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Oxford United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Port Vale show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Oxford United.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 Mar 202423/243.41/3.36/2.17
Match Details
2 Sept 202323/241.69/3.71/4.78
Match Details
10 Apr 202322/232.59/3.23/2.80
Match Details
12 Nov 202222/232.23/3.33/3.28
Match Details
22/10/1616/173.06/3.38/2.41
17/04/1716/171.87/3.73/4.28

Market Summary

Margin: 7.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.1%Draw 27.0%Away 20.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.623.504.40
Max1.753.875.20
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 51.8%
Market favourite:Oxford United · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.5%25.0%18.6%
Public market54.5%25.4%20.1%
Δ2.0%0.5%1.5%

Oxford United vs Port Vale — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Port Vale
Result vs. Market: Oxford United (59%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Oxford UnitedHalf-time:00Port Vale
13Shots8
6Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Oxford United

W 144D 87L 126
Over 2.555
Goals scored532

Away Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026