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Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers

11 November 2023 at 15:00Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Referee: M. Woods

Match Summary

Bristol Rovers defeated Carlisle 1:0. The match was played in League One 2023.

Rivalry since 2015

Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers Head to Head Results· 5

Carlisle and Bristol Rovers have met 5 times — Carlisle won 2, Bristol Rovers won 3, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Bristol Rovers leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (5 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2016.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
14 · 2.8/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

24/02/24League One
Match Details
26/03/22League Two
Match Details
09/10/21League Two
Match Details
28/03/16League Two
Match Details
14/11/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Bristol Rovers show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30/10/1010/112.46/3.28/2.80
29/12/0707/082.68/3.21/2.37
28/02/0908/092.29/3.24/2.90
24 Feb 202423/241.66/3.93/4.95
Match Details
11 Nov 202323/242.93/3.43/2.39
Match Details
22/09/0707/081.90/3.25/3.66
15/01/1110/111.83/3.51/4.24
14/11/0909/101.97/3.29/3.59
8 Sept 200808/092.33/3.22/2.72
4 Feb 201009/102.31/3.30/3.02

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.1%Draw 29.2%Away 41.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.392.30
Max3.003.502.48
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.4%28.6%39.0%
Public market32.1%27.5%40.4%
Δ0.3%1.1%1.4%

Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bristol Rovers
Result vs. Market: Bristol Rovers (42%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:01Bristol Rovers
16Shots6
5Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 135D 109L 170
Over 2.550
Goals scored502

Away Record: Bristol Rovers

W 170D 128L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored638

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026