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League OneSeason 2023

Portsmouth vs Burton Albion

12 March 2024 at 19:45Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Referee: A. Herczeg

Match Summary

Portsmouth defeated Burton Albion 2:1. The match was played in League One 2023.

Rivalry since 2013

Portsmouth vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 14

Portsmouth and Burton Albion have met 14 times — Portsmouth won 7, Burton Albion won 3, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Portsmouth leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.71 per match (22 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Portsmouth are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2020.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
38 · 2.7/match
Both scored
9/14 · 64%
Over 2.5
8/14 · 57%

Recent Meetings

28/11/23League One
Match Details
14/02/23League One
Match Details
13/09/22League One
Match Details
08/02/22League One
Match Details
28/09/21League One
Match Details
10/04/21League One
Match Details
03/10/20League One
Match Details
17/09/19League One
Match Details
19/04/19League One
Match Details
23/10/18League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Portsmouth have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Portsmouth dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (67%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 Mar 202423/241.43/4.64/7.57
Match Details
28 Nov 202323/244.24/3.63/1.84
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14 Feb 202322/231.76/3.75/4.71
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13 Sept 202222/234.05/3.66/1.87
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8 Feb 202221/221.92/3.41/4.16
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28 Sept 202121/222.59/3.13/2.84
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10 Apr 202120/211.81/3.52/4.45
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3 Oct 202020/213.53/3.32/2.14
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17 Sept 201919/201.94/3.53/4.18
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23 Oct 201818/191.79/3.61/4.84
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 70.1%Draw 21.6%Away 13.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.404.507.50
Max1.444.757.72
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Portsmouth · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market66.9%20.6%12.5%
Public market66.9%20.3%12.8%

Portsmouth vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Portsmouth
Result vs. Market: Portsmouth (70%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PortsmouthHalf-time:10Burton Albion
13Shots8
3Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Portsmouth

W 158D 94L 105
Over 2.549
Goals scored515

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026