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Stevenage vs Burton Albion

18 February 2025 at 19:45Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
Referee: J. Durkin

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Stevenage 1:0. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2014

Stevenage vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 8

Stevenage and Burton Albion have met 8 times — Stevenage won 4, Burton Albion won 1, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Stevenage leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.25 per match (12 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Stevenage are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
18 · 2.3/match
Both scored
4/8 · 50%
Over 2.5
4/8 · 50%

Recent Meetings

07/03/26League One
Match Details
20/12/25League One
Match Details
10/12/24EFL Trophy
Match Details
24/08/24League One
Match Details
13/04/24League One
Match Details
09/12/23League One
Match Details
30/03/15League Two
Match Details
25/10/14League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stevenage have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/262.57/3.20/2.57
Match Details
20 Dec 202525/261.79/3.30/4.33
Match Details
18 Feb 202524/251.83/3.33/4.72
Match Details
24 Aug 202424/252.91/3.35/2.41
Match Details
13 Apr 202423/241.54/4.07/6.13
Match Details
9 Dec 202323/243.04/3.48/2.22
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.6%Draw 30.0%Away 21.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.803.254.60
Max1.853.454.80
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Stevenage · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.2%27.8%20.0%
Public market51.7%28.7%19.6%

Stevenage vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:01Burton Albion
16Shots8
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 99D 75L 102
Over 2.542
Goals scored310

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026