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Rotherham vs Port Vale

2 August 2025 at 15:00Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
21
Referee: J. Miles

Match Summary

Rotherham defeated Port Vale 2:1. The match was played in League One 2025.

Rivalry since 2011

Rotherham vs Port Vale Head to Head Results· 8

Rotherham and Port Vale have met 8 times — Rotherham won 2, Port Vale won 6, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Port Vale leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.63 per match (6 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–2 in 2012.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
21 · 2.6/match
Both scored
3/8 · 38%
Over 2.5
3/8 · 38%

Recent Meetings

07/04/26League One
Match Details
10/08/22League Cup
Match Details
21/04/14League One
Match Details
29/12/13League One
Match Details
26/12/12League Two
Match Details
08/09/12League Two
Match Details
21/01/12League Two
Match Details
01/10/11League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 62 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Rotherham have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Port Vale show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Rotherham

LDLWLL

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Rotherham.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Apr 202625/262.45/3.20/2.70
Match Details
2 Aug 202525/262.20/3.65/2.96
Match Details
29/12/1313/143.05/3.35/2.36
21/04/1413/141.55/4.38/6.11
3 Oct 200706/072.43/3.18/2.59
10 Aug 200606/071.86/3.26/3.69

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.5%Draw 27.4%Away 33.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.602.90
Max2.203.693.03
Over 2.5: 57.1%Under 2.5: 48.8%
Market favourite:Rotherham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.1%25.7%31.3%
Public market42.2%25.8%32.0%

Rotherham vs Port Vale — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rotherham
Result vs. Market: Rotherham (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

RotherhamHalf-time:20Port Vale
12Shots19
4Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rotherham

W 144D 85L 128
Over 2.549
Goals scored495

Away Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026