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Stevenage vs Rotherham

9 August 2025 at 15:00Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
10
Referee: J. Durkin

Match Summary

Stevenage defeated Rotherham 1:0. The match was played in League One 2025.

Rivalry since 2012

Stevenage vs Rotherham Head to Head Results· 6

Stevenage and Rotherham have met 6 times — Stevenage won 0, Rotherham won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Rotherham leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (4 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Rotherham are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2012.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
15 · 2.5/match
Both scored
3/6 · 50%
Over 2.5
3/6 · 50%

Recent Meetings

03/04/26League One
Match Details
27/04/25League One
Match Details
26/10/24League One
Match Details
15/02/14League One
Match Details
16/11/13League One
Match Details
03/11/12FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stevenage have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Rotherham show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Stevenage

LLWDWD

Rotherham

LDLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Rotherham.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Apr 202625/263.30/3.10/2.20
Match Details
9 Aug 202525/261.79/3.54/4.55
Match Details
27 Apr 202524/252.17/3.29/3.29
Match Details
26 Oct 202424/252.02/3.28/3.79
Match Details
16/11/1313/142.85/3.33/2.59
15/02/1413/141.64/3.98/5.68

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.9%Draw 28.2%Away 22.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.504.50
Max1.803.594.61
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Stevenage · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.1%26.3%20.5%
Public market52.2%26.9%20.9%

Stevenage vs Rotherham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stevenage
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:10Rotherham
12Shots5
2Shots on target0

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 99D 75L 102
Over 2.542
Goals scored310

Away Record: Rotherham

W 144D 85L 128
Over 2.549
Goals scored495

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026