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Bradford vs Luton

16 August 2025 at 15:00Valley Parade, Bradford
21
Away

Luton

Referee: E. Duckworth

Match Summary

Bradford defeated Luton 2:1. The match was played in League One 2025.

Rivalry since 2018

Bradford vs Luton Head to Head Results· 3

Bradford and Luton have met 3 times — Bradford won 0, Luton won 3, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Luton leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (1 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Luton are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2018.

Drawn
0
·
3
wins
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

07/02/26League One
Match Details
12/03/19League One
Match Details
27/11/18League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 40 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bradford have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Luton show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bradford

LLWDDD

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Luton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
4 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Bradford.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Feb 202625/261.91/3.20/4.00
Match Details
16 Aug 202525/263.38/3.29/2.15
Match Details
12 Mar 201918/194.60/3.80/1.77
Match Details
27 Nov 201818/191.34/5.29/9.20
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.5%Draw 30.3%Away 46.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.292.15
Max3.473.302.15
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Luton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.3%28.7%44.0%
Public market28.3%28.3%43.4%
Δ1.0%0.5%0.6%

Bradford vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bradford
Result vs. Market: Luton (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BradfordHalf-time:10Luton
13Shots9
7Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bradford

W 167D 136L 157
Over 2.543
Goals scored555

Away Record: Luton

W 88D 45L 51
Over 2.554
Goals scored288

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026