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Plymouth vs Burton Albion

4 January 2026 at 15:00Home Park, Plymouth
Referee: Oliver Yates

Match Summary

Plymouth defeated Burton Albion 3:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by B. Galloway 21′, M. Ross 63′, L. Tolaj 77′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Plymouth had 66% possession while Burton Albion held 34%. Plymouth had 21 shots (6 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Burton Albion. Expected goals: Plymouth 2.17 — Burton Albion 0.50. Plymouth made 5 substitutions, Burton Albion made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Plymouth and Burton Albion — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
21′
29′
A. HartridgeN. Akoto
Half Time
A. PeppleC. Watts
60′
63′
X. AmaechiM. Sorinola
72′
J. RallsB. Wiredu
73′
L. Tolaj

Penalty

77′
A. MitchellT. Finn
83′
90+1′
G. EvansJ. Newall
90+1′
J. LarssonJ. Taroni
90′
D. WilliamsS. Krubally
90+1′
F. TavaresZ. Scutt
Full Time

Match Statistics

Plymouth had 66% possession against Burton Albion's 34%. Plymouth registered 21 shots (6 on target) while Burton Albion managed 8 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 9–4. Fouls committed: 7–7.

Shots on Goal
6
2
Shots Off Goal
7
2
Total Shots
21
8
Blocked Shots
8
4
Shots inside the Box
13
2
Shots outside the Box
8
6
Fouls
7
7
Corner Kicks
9
4
Offsides
1
0
Ball Possession
66%
34%
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
3
Total Passes
512
259
Accurate Passes
430
167
Pass Accuracy
84%
64%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
0.50
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2011

Plymouth vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 17

Plymouth and Burton Albion have met 17 times — Plymouth won 5, Burton Albion won 6, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 39 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.29 per match (21 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Plymouth are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2018.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
39 · 2.3/match
Both scored
10/17 · 59%
Over 2.5
7/17 · 41%

Recent Meetings

27/09/25League One
Match Details
29/04/23League One
Match Details
19/11/22League One
Match Details
09/04/22League One
Match Details
09/10/21League One
Match Details
17/04/21League One
Match Details
10/10/20League One
Match Details
29/12/18League One
Match Details
20/10/18League One
Match Details
03/04/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Plymouth have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Plymouth.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Jan 202625/262.15/3.30/3.25
Match Details
27 Sept 202525/262.55/3.34/2.60
Match Details
29 Apr 202322/231.38/4.79/7.55
Match Details
19 Nov 202222/232.77/3.56/2.43
Match Details
9 Apr 202221/222.98/3.48/2.32
Match Details
9 Oct 202121/222.20/3.37/3.22
Match Details
17 Apr 202120/212.02/3.40/3.76
Match Details
10 Oct 202020/212.09/3.51/3.43
Match Details
29 Dec 201818/191.68/3.81/5.03
Match Details
20 Oct 201818/193.45/3.60/2.12
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 30.3%Away 30.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.303.25
Max2.153.303.25
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite:Plymouth · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Plymouth
Result vs. Market: Plymouth (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PlymouthHalf-time:10Burton Albion
20Shots8
5Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Plymouth

W 137D 66L 119
Over 2.552
Goals scored443

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026