League One· Season 2025
Match Summary
Lincoln defeated Burton Albion 2:1. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by J. Moylan 35′, J. Beesley 37′, J. Moylan 55′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Lincoln had 45% possession while Burton Albion held 55%. Lincoln had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Burton Albion. Expected goals: Lincoln 1.37 — Burton Albion 0.91. Lincoln made 3 substitutions, Burton Albion made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Lincoln and Burton Albion — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: F. Draper
assist: J. Armer
Match Statistics
Lincoln had 45% possession against Burton Albion's 55%. Lincoln registered 10 shots (4 on target) while Burton Albion managed 8 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 2–5. Fouls committed: 18–9.
Rivalry since 2019
Lincoln vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 14
Lincoln and Burton Albion have met 14 times — Lincoln won 9, Burton Albion won 5, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Lincoln leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.43 per match (20 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (36%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2020.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Lincoln have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 11.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.51 | 3.60 | 5.75 |
| Max | 1.51 | 3.60 | 5.75 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Lincoln
Away Record: Burton Albion
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 13 May 2026