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Burton Albion vs Rotherham

17 February 2026 at 19:45Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Referee: A. Byrne

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Rotherham 1:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by T. Shade 23′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Burton Albion had 49% possession while Rotherham held 51%. Burton Albion had 11 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (4 on target) for Rotherham. Burton Albion made 2 substitutions, Rotherham made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Burton Albion and Rotherham — 1 goal and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
16′
H. DouglasJ. Rafferty
T. Shade

assist: K. Lofthouse

23′
45+1′Zak Jules
Half Time
46′
D. YearwoodM. Kaleta
J. LarssonA. Cannon
69′
69′
B. CoverD. Watmore
T. VancootenJ. Moon
81′
85′
L. Sousa
Full Time

Match Statistics

Burton Albion had 49% possession against Rotherham's 51%. Burton Albion registered 11 shots (3 on target) while Rotherham managed 13 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 10–3. Fouls committed: 12–7.

Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Total Shots
11
13
Blocked Shots
4
5
Shots inside the Box
8
8
Shots outside the Box
3
5
Fouls
12
7
Corner Kicks
10
3
Offsides
3
1
Ball Possession
49%
51%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
2
Total Passes
328
347
Accurate Passes
180
199
Pass Accuracy
55%
57%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2011

Burton Albion vs Rotherham Head to Head Results· 13

Burton Albion and Rotherham have met 13 times — Burton Albion won 6, Rotherham won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.08 per match (21 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (62%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Burton Albion are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
40 · 3.1/match
Both scored
8/13 · 62%
Over 2.5
8/13 · 62%

Recent Meetings

04/11/25League One
Match Details
25/01/25League One
Match Details
14/09/24League One
Match Details
19/04/22League One
Match Details
11/12/21League One
Match Details
01/02/20League One
Match Details
17/08/19League One
Match Details
29/12/16Championship
Match Details
03/12/16Championship
Match Details
09/02/13League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Rotherham show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Feb 202625/262.20/3.20/3.20
Match Details
4 Nov 202525/262.15/3.40/2.95
Match Details
25 Jan 202524/253.93/3.41/1.92
Match Details
14 Sept 202424/251.57/4.24/5.27
Match Details
19 Apr 202221/224.70/3.75/1.73
Match Details
11 Dec 202121/221.45/4.56/6.60
Match Details
1 Feb 202019/201.89/3.71/4.08
Match Details
17 Aug 201919/202.43/3.36/3.02
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.5%Draw 31.3%Away 31.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.203.20
Max2.203.203.20
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Burton Albion · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:10Rotherham
11Shots13
3Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Away Record: Rotherham

W 144D 85L 128
Over 2.549
Goals scored495

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026