League One· Season 2025
Match Summary
Plymouth defeated Cardiff 5:2. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by L. Tolaj 28′, A. Pepple 31′, O. Kellyman 33′, A. Pepple 34′, O. Kellyman 43′, L. Tolaj 68′ (pen.), M. Ross 81′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Plymouth had 29% possession while Cardiff held 71%. Plymouth had 16 shots (9 on target) compared to 18 (6 on target) for Cardiff. Expected goals: Plymouth 2.67 — Cardiff 2.21. Plymouth made 4 substitutions, Cardiff made 5.
Match Events
assist: J. Edwards
assist: W. Harding
assist: P. Ng
Penalty
assist: R. Curtis
Match Statistics
Plymouth had 29% possession against Cardiff's 71%. Plymouth registered 16 shots (9 on target) while Cardiff managed 18 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 3–8. Fouls committed: 23–10.
Plymouth and Cardiff have met 5 times — Plymouth won 1, Cardiff won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Cardiff leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 19 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.80 per match (6 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Cardiff are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2024.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
5.5
Average goals per game
100%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Plymouth.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Max | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 13 May 2026