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Rotherham vs Plymouth

28 February 2026 at 15:00Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham

Match Summary

Rotherham defeated Plymouth 1:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by J. Rafferty 7′. 10 yellow cards were shown. Rotherham had 50% possession while Plymouth held 50%. Rotherham had 18 shots (7 on target) compared to 20 (4 on target) for Plymouth. Expected goals: Rotherham 2.66 — Plymouth 1.47. Rotherham made 4 substitutions, Plymouth made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Rotherham and Plymouth — 1 goal and 10 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
J. Rafferty

assist: D. Yearwood

7′
E. AdegboyegaZ. Jules
36′
Half Time
50′
T. FinnX. Amaechi
D. WatmoreS. McWilliams
53′
J. BensonD. Gore
53′
81′
M. SorinolaJ. Paterson
81′
J. EdwardsO. Oseni
A. MarthaL. Agbaire
82′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Rotherham had 50% possession against Plymouth's 50%. Rotherham registered 18 shots (7 on target) while Plymouth managed 20 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–8. Fouls committed: 11–13.

Shots on Goal
7
4
Shots Off Goal
7
7
Total Shots
18
20
Blocked Shots
4
9
Shots inside the Box
12
11
Shots outside the Box
6
9
Fouls
11
13
Corner Kicks
3
8
Offsides
2
3
Ball Possession
50%
50%
Yellow Cards
5
5
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
6
Total Passes
312
305
Accurate Passes
188
198
Pass Accuracy
60%
65%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
1.47
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2011

Rotherham vs Plymouth Head to Head Results· 11

Rotherham and Plymouth have met 11 times — Rotherham won 6, Plymouth won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Rotherham leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 23 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.09 per match (14 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (36%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (27%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Plymouth are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2023.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
23 · 2.1/match
Both scored
4/11 · 36%
Over 2.5
3/11 · 27%

Recent Meetings

13/12/25League One
Match Details
05/04/24Championship
Match Details
16/12/23Championship
Match Details
26/02/22League One
Match Details
07/08/21League One
Match Details
28/04/18League One
Match Details
16/12/17League One
Match Details
20/04/13League Two
Match Details
27/10/12League Two
Match Details
10/03/12League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Rotherham have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Plymouth show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Rotherham

LDLWLL

Plymouth

WWDWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.7

Average goals per game

17%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Rotherham.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202625/263.30/3.50/2.01
Match Details
13 Dec 202525/261.96/3.50/3.40
Match Details
26 Feb 202221/223.93/3.46/1.95
Match Details
7 Aug 202121/221.82/3.60/4.22
Match Details
16/12/1717/181.63/4.04/5.61
28/04/1817/182.75/3.40/2.61

Market Summary

Margin: 8.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.3%Draw 28.6%Away 49.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.502.01
Max3.303.502.01
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Plymouth · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Rotherham
Result vs. Market: Plymouth (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

RotherhamHalf-time:10Plymouth
18Shots20
7Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rotherham

W 144D 85L 128
Over 2.549
Goals scored495

Away Record: Plymouth

W 137D 66L 119
Over 2.552
Goals scored443

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026