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Burton Albion vs Stevenage

7 March 2026 at 15:00Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Referee: C. Hicks

Match Summary

Stevenage defeated Burton Albion 1:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by J. Reid 44′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Burton Albion had 58% possession while Stevenage held 42%. Burton Albion had 5 shots (1 on target) compared to 10 (6 on target) for Stevenage. Expected goals: Burton Albion 0.21 — Stevenage 1.07. Burton Albion made 4 substitutions, Stevenage made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Burton Albion and Stevenage — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
44′
Half Time
K. ChaukeS. Krubally
67′
A. CannonJ. Larsson
68′
A. HartridgeK. Adom
68′
80′
M. PhillipsB. Lubala
80′
J. ReidJ. Roberts
G. EvansF. Tavares
81′
90+2′
D. PhillipsD. Kemp
90+2′
J. PattendenD. Sweeney
Full Time

Match Statistics

Burton Albion had 58% possession against Stevenage's 42%. Burton Albion registered 5 shots (1 on target) while Stevenage managed 10 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 9–5. Fouls committed: 8–13.

Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots Off Goal
2
4
Total Shots
5
10
Blocked Shots
2
0
Shots inside the Box
3
6
Shots outside the Box
2
4
Fouls
8
13
Corner Kicks
9
5
Offsides
0
4
Ball Possession
58%
42%
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
1
Total Passes
412
303
Accurate Passes
269
187
Pass Accuracy
65%
62%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.21
1.07
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2014

Burton Albion vs Stevenage Head to Head Results· 8

Burton Albion and Stevenage have met 8 times — Burton Albion won 2, Stevenage won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Stevenage leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.25 per match (7 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
18 · 2.3/match
Both scored
4/8 · 50%
Over 2.5
4/8 · 50%

Recent Meetings

20/12/25League One
Match Details
18/02/25League One
Match Details
10/12/24EFL Trophy
Match Details
24/08/24League One
Match Details
13/04/24League One
Match Details
09/12/23League One
Match Details
30/03/15League Two
Match Details
25/10/14League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Stevenage show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/262.57/3.20/2.57
Match Details
20 Dec 202525/261.79/3.30/4.33
Match Details
18 Feb 202524/251.83/3.33/4.72
Match Details
24 Aug 202424/252.91/3.35/2.41
Match Details
13 Apr 202423/241.54/4.07/6.13
Match Details
9 Dec 202323/243.04/3.48/2.22
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 9.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.9%Draw 31.3%Away 38.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.573.202.57
Max2.573.202.57
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Stevenage
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:01Stevenage
5Shots10
1Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Away Record: Stevenage

W 99D 75L 102
Over 2.542
Goals scored310

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026