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Exeter City vs Carlisle

10 March 2018 at 15:00St James Park, Exeter
11
Referee: John Busby

Match Summary

Exeter City and Carlisle drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2017.

Rivalry since 2011

Exeter City vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 20

Exeter City and Carlisle have met 20 times — Exeter City won 11, Carlisle won 5, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Exeter City leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 20 meetings. A combined 59 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.95 per match (34 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Exeter City are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2017.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
59 · 3.0/match
Both scored
12/20 · 60%
Over 2.5
11/20 · 55%

Recent Meetings

06/01/24League One
Match Details
19/08/23League One
Match Details
09/04/22League Two
Match Details
20/11/21League Two
Match Details
30/01/21League Two
Match Details
31/10/20League Two
Match Details
07/09/19League Two
Match Details
09/02/19League Two
Match Details
04/08/18League Two
Match Details
07/10/17League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Carlisle show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Exeter City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Exeter City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 Apr 202221/224.14/3.35/1.93
Match Details
20 Nov 202121/221.75/3.81/4.34
Match Details
30 Jan 202120/212.03/3.33/3.81
Match Details
31 Oct 202020/212.35/3.25/3.13
Match Details
7 Sept 201919/202.86/3.40/2.52
Match Details
9 Feb 201918/192.37/3.39/3.04
Match Details
4 Aug 201818/192.26/3.35/3.34
Match Details
10 Mar 201817/182.80/3.44/2.56
Match Details
7 Oct 201717/182.54/3.49/2.80
Match Details
19/11/1616/171.94/3.71/4.01

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.8%Draw 29.1%Away 39.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.793.302.50
Max2.803.512.60
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market34.7%27.7%37.6%
Public market34.8%27.8%37.4%

Exeter City vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Exeter CityHalf-time:10Carlisle
7Shots13
4Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Exeter City

W 211D 133L 153
Over 2.549
Goals scored694

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026