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Port Vale vs Lincoln

14 April 2018 at 15:00Vale Park, Stoke
10
Referee: John Busby

Match Summary

Port Vale defeated Lincoln 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2017.

Rivalry since 2017

Port Vale vs Lincoln Head to Head Results· 10

Port Vale and Lincoln have met 10 times — Port Vale won 1, Lincoln won 7, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Lincoln leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.10 per match (8 for the home side, 23 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lincoln are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–6 in 2018.

Drawn
2
·
7
wins
Total goals
31 · 3.1/match
Both scored
5/10 · 50%
Over 2.5
4/10 · 40%

Recent Meetings

02/05/26League One
Match Details
29/11/25League One
Match Details
24/02/24League One
Match Details
11/11/23League One
Match Details
15/04/23League One
Match Details
29/10/22League One
Match Details
01/01/19League Two
Match Details
13/10/18League Two
Match Details
14/08/18League Cup
Match Details
25/11/17League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 26 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Lincoln show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Lincoln

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Port Vale.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/03/1110/111.73/3.57/4.78
29/01/1110/112.86/3.27/2.42
23/02/1009/101.91/3.33/3.75
20/02/0908/092.64/3.23/2.60
1 Jan 201918/191.70/3.63/5.51
Match Details
13 Oct 201818/193.67/3.40/2.11
Match Details
14 Apr 201817/183.51/3.24/2.24
Match Details
25 Nov 201717/182.27/3.38/3.31
Match Details
12 Jan 200909/102.42/3.28/2.83
11 Jan 200808/091.91/3.33/3.72

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.5%Draw 30.8%Away 44.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.102.22
Max3.603.382.25
Market favourite:Lincoln · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.6%28.7%43.7%
Public market27.0%29.9%43.2%
Δ0.6%1.2%0.6%

Port Vale vs Lincoln — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Port Vale
Result vs. Market: Lincoln (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:00Lincoln
9Shots6
3Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 186D 141L 170
Over 2.546
Goals scored641

Away Record: Lincoln

W 157D 115L 142
Over 2.547
Goals scored537

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026