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Port Vale vs Milton Keynes Dons

2 October 2018 at 19:45Vale Park, Stoke

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Port Vale 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2018.

Rivalry since 2013

Port Vale vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 13

Port Vale and Milton Keynes Dons have met 13 times — Port Vale won 6, Milton Keynes Dons won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Port Vale leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.85 per match (13 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (23%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (31%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Port Vale are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2014.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
24 · 1.8/match
Both scored
3/13 · 23%
Over 2.5
4/13 · 31%

Recent Meetings

15/03/25League Two
Match Details
12/10/24League Two
Match Details
04/03/23League One
Match Details
16/08/22League One
Match Details
09/11/19FA Cup
Match Details
22/04/19League Two
Match Details
25/03/17League One
Match Details
09/10/16League One
Match Details
11/04/15League One
Match Details
22/11/14League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Port Vale.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Mar 202524/251.96/3.43/3.83
Match Details
12 Oct 202424/252.20/3.38/3.24
Match Details
22 Apr 201918/191.68/3.73/5.40
Match Details
2 Oct 201818/192.91/3.21/2.60
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.3%Draw 31.2%Away 38.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.122.55
Max3.043.302.62
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.9%31.1%37.0%
Public market33.5%29.4%37.1%
Δ1.6%1.6%

Port Vale vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:02Milton Keynes Dons
9Shots16
2Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 186D 141L 170
Over 2.546
Goals scored641

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026