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Lincoln vs Crewe

6 October 2018 at 15:00Sincil Bank, Lincoln
10
Away

Crewe

Referee: Paul Marsden

Match Summary

Lincoln defeated Crewe 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2018.

Rivalry since 2017

Lincoln vs Crewe Head to Head Results· 9

Lincoln and Crewe have met 9 times — Lincoln won 6, Crewe won 3, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Lincoln leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 28 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.11 per match (16 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (78%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2018.

6
wins
Drawn
0
·
3
wins
Total goals
28 · 3.1/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
7/9 · 78%

Recent Meetings

22/07/23Friendlies Clubs
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30/04/22League One
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07/12/21League One
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06/03/21League One
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27/10/20League One
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05/09/20League Cup
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26/12/18League Two
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24/02/18League Two
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11/11/17League Two
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Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lincoln have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Crewe show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lincoln

WWWDWW

Crewe

DLLLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
4
8 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (61%) — the odds may underestimate Crewe.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28/08/1010/112.48/3.27/2.78
27/02/1009/102.54/3.29/2.54
26 Dec 201818/194.04/3.38/2.01
Match Details
6 Oct 201818/191.56/4.27/6.04
Match Details
24 Feb 201817/181.64/3.96/5.70
Match Details
11 Nov 201717/183.57/3.38/2.16
Match Details
16/04/1110/111.65/3.83/5.01
12 May 200909/101.76/3.46/4.27

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 64.1%Draw 23.4%Away 16.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.554.205.80
Max1.574.336.50
Market favourite:Lincoln · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market61.3%22.3%16.4%
Public market62.3%22.6%15.1%
Δ1.1%0.3%1.4%

Lincoln vs Crewe — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lincoln
Result vs. Market: Lincoln (64%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LincolnHalf-time:00Crewe
9Shots7
5Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lincoln

W 157D 115L 142
Over 2.547
Goals scored537

Away Record: Crewe

W 190D 125L 182
Over 2.551
Goals scored699

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026