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Plymouth vs Swindon Town

1 January 2020 at 15:00Home Park, Plymouth
Referee: K. Johnson

Match Summary

Swindon Town defeated Plymouth 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2019.

Rivalry since 2011

Plymouth vs Swindon Town Head to Head Results· 12

Plymouth and Swindon Town have met 12 times — Plymouth won 5, Swindon Town won 6, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Swindon Town leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.17 per match (19 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (58%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2020.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
38 · 3.2/match
Both scored
7/12 · 58%
Over 2.5
8/12 · 67%

Recent Meetings

29/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
20/09/22EFL Trophy
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12/10/21EFL Trophy
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26/01/21League One
Match Details
03/11/20League One
Match Details
12/10/19League Two
Match Details
08/10/19EFL Trophy
Match Details
09/10/18EFL Trophy
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07/10/14EFL Trophy
Match Details
08/10/13EFL Trophy
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Plymouth have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Swindon Town show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Swindon Town dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22/10/1111/124.23/3.49/1.77
1 Jan 202019/202.47/3.42/2.81
Match Details
12 Oct 201919/202.33/3.63/3.00
Match Details
14/04/1211/121.51/3.97/6.35

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.5%Draw 29.3%Away 35.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.252.75
Max2.513.502.87
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.3%27.5%34.2%
Public market38.4%28.9%32.7%
Δ1.4%1.5%

Plymouth vs Swindon Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swindon Town
Result vs. Market: Plymouth (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PlymouthHalf-time:11Swindon Town
12Shots13
4Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Plymouth

W 129D 78L 106
Over 2.545
Goals scored403

Away Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026