Menu

Northampton vs Swindon Town

11 February 2020 at 19:45PTS Academy Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
Referee: T. Nield

Match Summary

Swindon Town defeated Northampton 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2019.

Rivalry since 2011

Northampton vs Swindon Town Head to Head Results· 13

Northampton and Swindon Town have met 13 times — Northampton won 5, Swindon Town won 5, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 37 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.85 per match (18 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (85%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2022.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
37 · 2.8/match
Both scored
11/13 · 85%
Over 2.5
8/13 · 62%

Recent Meetings

29/12/22League Two
Match Details
01/10/22League Two
Match Details
01/01/22League Two
Match Details
18/09/21League Two
Match Details
27/02/21League One
Match Details
20/10/20League One
Match Details
20/08/19League Two
Match Details
26/12/18League Two
Match Details
06/10/18League Two
Match Details
14/02/17League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Northampton have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats. Swindon Town show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

31/12/1111/124.12/3.44/1.88
29 Dec 202222/232.12/3.40/3.51
Match Details
1 Oct 202222/232.45/3.27/3.01
Match Details
1 Jan 202221/222.16/3.38/3.36
Match Details
18 Sept 202121/222.15/3.39/3.31
Match Details
11 Feb 202019/202.74/3.34/2.60
Match Details
20 Aug 201919/201.90/3.64/4.15
Match Details
26 Dec 201818/192.15/3.34/3.59
Match Details
6 Oct 201818/192.41/3.46/2.97
Match Details
4 Sept 201211/121.44/4.25/7.01

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.5%Draw 29.9%Away 38.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.623.232.55
Max2.853.502.64
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.8%29.8%36.4%
Public market36.4%27.2%36.4%
Δ2.6%2.6%

Northampton vs Swindon Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swindon Town
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:00Swindon Town
11Shots12
3Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026