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Colchester vs Carlisle

2 March 2021 at 19:00JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
21
Referee: T. Kettle

Match Summary

Colchester defeated Carlisle 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2020.

Rivalry since 2011

Colchester vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 21

Colchester and Carlisle have met 21 times — Colchester won 6, Carlisle won 6, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 49 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (27 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Carlisle are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2014.

Drawn
9
·
Total goals
49 · 2.3/match
Both scored
9/21 · 43%
Over 2.5
7/21 · 33%

Recent Meetings

15/02/25League Two
Match Details
05/10/24League Two
Match Details
18/02/23League Two
Match Details
06/08/22League Two
Match Details
12/02/22League Two
Match Details
07/08/21League Two
Match Details
17/10/20League Two
Match Details
07/03/20League Two
Match Details
21/12/19League Two
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23/02/19League Two
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Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Colchester have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Carlisle show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (25%) — the odds may underestimate Colchester.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Feb 202524/253.35/3.22/2.21
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5 Oct 202424/252.04/3.47/3.50
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18 Feb 202322/232.05/3.33/3.77
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6 Aug 202222/232.19/3.29/3.43
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12 Feb 202221/222.29/3.25/3.23
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7 Aug 202121/222.08/3.34/3.54
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2 Mar 202120/213.70/3.38/2.04
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17 Oct 202020/212.40/3.35/2.93
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7 Mar 202019/203.17/3.26/2.33
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21 Dec 201919/201.79/3.73/4.65
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Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 27.0%Draw 29.6%Away 49.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.603.202.02
Max3.913.532.05
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market24.7%27.4%47.9%
Public market26.2%27.8%46.0%
Δ1.5%0.4%1.8%

Colchester vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Colchester
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ColchesterHalf-time:01Carlisle
5Shots19
4Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Colchester

W 152D 136L 163
Over 2.544
Goals scored546

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026