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Bolton vs Exeter City

1 May 2021 at 15:00University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton
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Bolton

12
Referee: A. Backhouse

Match Summary

Exeter City defeated Bolton 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2020.

Rivalry since 2021

Bolton vs Exeter City Head to Head Results· 9

Bolton and Exeter City have met 9 times — Bolton won 6, Exeter City won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Bolton leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (22 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bolton are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 7–0 in 2023.

6
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
30 · 3.3/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

28/02/26League One
Match Details
13/12/25League One
Match Details
04/01/25League One
Match Details
31/08/24League One
Match Details
09/03/24League One
Match Details
25/11/23League One
Match Details
07/04/23League One
Match Details
17/12/22League One
Match Details
12/01/21League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 70 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Exeter City show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bolton

WWWLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
1
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Exeter City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 May 202120/212.15/3.47/3.32
Match Details
12 Jan 202120/211.79/3.73/4.39
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 28.8%Away 30.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.303.20
Max2.153.613.40
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Bolton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.7%26.6%28.6%
Public market44.5%27.3%28.1%

Bolton vs Exeter City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Exeter City
Result vs. Market: Bolton (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:10Exeter City
16Shots15
2Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 23D 10L 13
Over 2.539
Goals scored59

Away Record: Exeter City

W 211D 133L 153
Over 2.549
Goals scored694

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026