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Newport County vs Cheltenham

1 May 2021 at 15:00Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
Referee: S. Oldham

Match Summary

Newport County defeated Cheltenham 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2020.

Rivalry since 2013

Newport County vs Cheltenham Head to Head Results· 22

Newport County and Cheltenham have met 22 times — Newport County won 5, Cheltenham won 9, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Cheltenham leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 54 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.45 per match (25 for the home side, 29 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (32%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Cheltenham are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–7 in 2019.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
54 · 2.5/match
Both scored
12/22 · 55%
Over 2.5
7/22 · 32%

Recent Meetings

18/04/26League Two
Match Details
18/10/25League Two
Match Details
22/02/25League Two
Match Details
03/09/24EFL Trophy
Match Details
10/08/24League Two
Match Details
10/10/23EFL Trophy
Match Details
29/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
19/01/21League Two
Match Details
08/09/20EFL Trophy
Match Details
01/01/20League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 47 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Newport County have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Cheltenham show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Newport County.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Apr 202625/262.25/3.10/3.10
Match Details
18 Oct 202525/262.19/3.38/3.09
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22 Feb 202524/253.01/3.29/2.32
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10 Aug 202424/251.78/3.64/4.40
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1 May 202120/213.04/3.24/2.39
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19 Jan 202120/212.33/3.14/3.29
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1 Jan 202019/202.45/3.24/2.97
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15 Mar 201918/192.05/3.37/3.96
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24 Nov 201818/192.86/3.28/2.59
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12 Sept 201717/182.06/3.57/3.59
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.9%Draw 30.9%Away 41.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.102.30
Max3.103.312.47
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 62.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.9%29.1%39.0%
Public market31.7%28.8%39.6%

Newport County vs Cheltenham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Newport County
Result vs. Market: Cheltenham (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Newport CountyHalf-time:10Cheltenham
11Shots11
6Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Newport County

W 196D 153L 239
Over 2.547
Goals scored687

Away Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026