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Carlisle vs Doncaster

15 October 2022 at 15:00Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
30
Referee: P. Wright

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Doncaster 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2012

Carlisle vs Doncaster Head to Head Results· 8

Carlisle and Doncaster have met 8 times — Carlisle won 2, Doncaster won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Doncaster leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 22 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.75 per match (9 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Doncaster are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2016.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
22 · 2.8/match
Both scored
5/8 · 63%
Over 2.5
6/8 · 75%

Recent Meetings

29/03/25League Two
Match Details
23/11/24League Two
Match Details
01/01/23League Two
Match Details
29/11/20FA Cup
Match Details
14/02/17League Two
Match Details
27/09/16League Two
Match Details
09/04/13League One
Match Details
20/11/12League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Doncaster show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Doncaster

WDLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Mar 202524/251.54/4.08/6.19
Match Details
23 Nov 202424/253.83/3.47/1.95
Match Details
1 Jan 202322/232.67/3.33/2.65
Match Details
15 Oct 202222/231.95/3.51/3.92
Match Details
27/09/1616/172.14/3.43/3.58
14/02/1716/173.10/3.46/2.35

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.4%Draw 28.5%Away 25.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.903.403.75
Max1.993.604.02
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.6%27.3%24.1%
Public market49.9%26.4%23.7%
Δ1.3%1.0%0.3%

Carlisle vs Doncaster — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:10Doncaster
23Shots5
8Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Doncaster

W 86D 37L 61
Over 2.556
Goals scored277

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026