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Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon

14 March 2023 at 19:45Rodney Parade, Casnewydd

Match Summary

Newport County and AFC Wimbledon drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2014

Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head Results· 12

Newport County and AFC Wimbledon have met 12 times — Newport County won 3, AFC Wimbledon won 4, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. AFC Wimbledon leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (19 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (58%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2014.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
36 · 3.0/match
Both scored
8/12 · 67%
Over 2.5
7/12 · 58%

Recent Meetings

02/01/25League Two
Match Details
03/12/24League Two
Match Details
16/03/24League Two
Match Details
02/09/23League Two
Match Details
26/12/22League Two
Match Details
08/11/16EFL Trophy
Match Details
07/05/16League Two
Match Details
19/12/15League Two
Match Details
07/02/15League Two
Match Details
27/09/14League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Newport County have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. AFC Wimbledon show 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate AFC Wimbledon.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 Jan 202524/254.88/3.95/1.65
Match Details
3 Dec 202424/251.40/4.59/7.74
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16 Mar 202423/241.72/3.79/4.83
Match Details
2 Sept 202323/242.53/3.20/2.79
Match Details
14 Mar 202322/232.00/3.19/4.20
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26 Dec 202222/232.48/3.19/2.92
Match Details
19/12/1515/163.40/3.51/2.18
5 Jul 201615/161.81/3.67/4.68
27/09/1414/152.04/3.43/3.91
2 Jul 201514/152.51/3.40/2.92

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.0%Draw 31.4%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.163.90
Max2.053.204.36
Over 2.5: 41.7%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite:Newport County · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.2%30.6%22.2%
Public market48.6%29.6%21.9%
Δ1.4%1.0%0.3%

Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Newport County (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Newport CountyHalf-time:01AFC Wimbledon
11Shots3
4Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Newport County

W 196D 153L 239
Over 2.547
Goals scored687

Away Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026