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Crewe vs Swindon Town

29 April 2023 at 15:00Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Home

Crewe

21
Referee: R. Ricardo

Match Summary

Crewe defeated Swindon Town 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Crewe vs Swindon Town Head to Head Results· 26

Crewe and Swindon Town have met 26 times — Crewe won 9, Swindon Town won 12, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Swindon Town leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 26 meetings. A combined 81 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.12 per match (32 for the home side, 49 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 18 games (69%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2018.

9
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
81 · 3.1/match
Both scored
14/26 · 54%
Over 2.5
18/26 · 69%

Recent Meetings

21/02/26League Two
Match Details
30/08/25League Two
Match Details
11/01/25League Two
Match Details
24/08/24League Two
Match Details
13/01/24League Two
Match Details
12/08/23League Two
Match Details
19/11/22League Two
Match Details
06/11/21FA Cup
Match Details
20/02/21League One
Match Details
01/12/20League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Crewe have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Swindon Town show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Crewe

DLLLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

5
wins
draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Crewe.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Feb 202625/261.96/3.50/3.40
Match Details
30 Aug 202525/261.98/3.51/3.59
Match Details
11 Jan 202524/252.90/3.22/2.43
Match Details
24 Aug 202424/252.35/3.40/2.97
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13 Jan 202423/241.90/3.93/3.58
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12 Aug 202323/241.78/3.58/4.40
Match Details
29 Apr 202322/232.94/3.29/2.47
Match Details
19 Nov 202222/231.77/3.80/4.51
Match Details
11 Jan 202019/202.47/3.58/2.78
Match Details
19 Oct 201919/202.38/3.52/3.00
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.1%Draw 30.4%Away 40.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.883.202.45
Max3.053.402.51
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.8%29.6%38.6%
Public market33.1%28.0%38.9%
Δ1.3%1.6%0.3%

Crewe vs Swindon Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Crewe
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CreweHalf-time:01Swindon Town
15Shots12
8Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Crewe

W 190D 125L 182
Over 2.551
Goals scored699

Away Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026