Menu

Notts County vs Forest Green

23 September 2023 at 15:00Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Forest Green 4:3. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2017

Notts County vs Forest Green Head to Head Results· 5

Notts County and Forest Green have met 5 times — Notts County won 2, Forest Green won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. A combined 13 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.60 per match (6 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2018.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
13 · 2.6/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

27/04/24League Two
Match Details
09/02/19League Two
Match Details
01/09/18League Two
Match Details
10/03/18League Two
Match Details
07/10/17League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Notts County have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Forest Green show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (64%) — the odds may underestimate Forest Green.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Apr 202423/243.18/3.83/2.07
Match Details
23 Sept 202323/241.48/4.44/5.92
Match Details
9 Feb 201918/191.57/4.05/6.20
Match Details
1 Sept 201818/192.64/3.44/2.69
Match Details
10 Mar 201817/183.11/3.51/2.31
Match Details
7 Oct 201717/181.49/4.35/7.35
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 67.6%Draw 22.5%Away 16.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.404.205.80
Max1.534.796.00
Over 2.5: 65.4%Under 2.5: 41.7%
Market favourite:Notts County · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market63.8%20.1%16.2%
Public market62.2%22.0%15.9%
Δ1.6%1.9%0.3%

Notts County vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Notts County (68%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Notts CountyHalf-time:20Forest Green
11Shots14
6Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026