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Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town

30 September 2023 at 15:00Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire

Match Summary

Harrogate Town defeated Milton Keynes Dons 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2024

Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town Head to Head Results· 5

Milton Keynes Dons and Harrogate Town have met 5 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 5, Harrogate Town won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 5.20 per match (20 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Milton Keynes Dons are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2024.

Total goals
26 · 5.2/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
5/5 · 100%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 35 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Harrogate Town show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.5

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/261.33/4.50/8.00
Match Details
20 Dec 202525/265.00/3.90/1.61
Match Details
28 Jan 202524/251.74/3.78/4.44
Match Details
1 Oct 202424/253.78/3.56/1.96
Match Details
20 Apr 202423/243.21/3.68/2.12
Match Details
30 Sept 202323/241.80/3.79/4.21
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.6%Draw 26.4%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.754.00
Max1.853.814.33
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.2%25.3%22.5%
Public market52.0%24.6%23.4%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Harrogate Town
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (56%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:01Harrogate Town
27Shots3
4Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Away Record: Harrogate Town

W 83D 68L 125
Over 2.550
Goals scored317

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026