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Newport County vs Morecambe

12 March 2024 at 19:45Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
Referee: S. Simpson

Match Summary

Newport County defeated Morecambe 5:3. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2013

Newport County vs Morecambe Head to Head Results· 20

Newport County and Morecambe have met 20 times — Newport County won 8, Morecambe won 8, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. A combined 53 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.65 per match (26 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (75%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Newport County are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2014.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
53 · 2.6/match
Both scored
15/20 · 75%
Over 2.5
11/20 · 55%

Recent Meetings

04/02/25League Two
Match Details
31/08/24League Two
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28/11/23League Two
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06/11/21FA Cup
Match Details
13/03/21League Two
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05/12/20League Two
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07/03/20League Two
Match Details
21/12/19League Two
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04/05/19League Two
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27/10/18League Two
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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Newport County have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Morecambe show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Newport County dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Newport County.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Feb 202524/252.60/3.38/2.62
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31 Aug 202424/252.22/3.42/3.22
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12 Mar 202423/242.22/3.45/3.20
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28 Nov 202323/242.19/3.41/3.27
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13 Mar 202120/212.55/3.33/2.74
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5 Dec 202020/211.65/3.93/5.16
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7 Mar 202019/201.89/3.48/4.31
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21 Dec 201919/203.76/3.56/2.02
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4 May 201918/193.65/3.53/2.06
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27 Oct 201818/191.92/3.63/4.03
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Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.0%Draw 29.0%Away 31.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.403.10
Max2.273.503.31
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Newport County · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.7%28.1%29.3%
Public market42.2%27.1%30.6%
Δ0.4%0.9%1.4%

Newport County vs Morecambe — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Newport County
Result vs. Market: Newport County (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Newport CountyHalf-time:21Morecambe
19Shots23
9Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Newport County

W 196D 153L 239
Over 2.547
Goals scored687

Away Record: Morecambe

W 229D 196L 302
Over 2.550
Goals scored890

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026