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Swindon Town vs Doncaster

16 March 2024 at 15:00The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
Referee: F. Hallam

Match Summary

Doncaster defeated Swindon Town 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2012

Swindon Town vs Doncaster Head to Head Results· 13

Swindon Town and Doncaster have met 13 times — Swindon Town won 3, Doncaster won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Doncaster leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.23 per match (13 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Doncaster are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
29 · 2.2/match
Both scored
7/13 · 54%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

Recent Meetings

08/03/25League Two
Match Details
19/10/24League Two
Match Details
02/09/23League Two
Match Details
11/02/23League Two
Match Details
17/09/22League Two
Match Details
16/01/21League One
Match Details
15/12/20League One
Match Details
01/03/16League One
Match Details
29/09/15League One
Match Details
17/03/15League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Doncaster show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Doncaster.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Mar 202524/251.67/3.80/4.90
Match Details
19 Oct 202424/253.00/3.42/2.30
Match Details
16 Mar 202423/242.18/3.72/3.10
Match Details
2 Sept 202323/242.83/3.29/2.44
Match Details
11 Feb 202322/232.00/3.48/3.77
Match Details
17 Sept 202222/232.59/3.29/2.76
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.9%Draw 26.9%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.603.10
Max2.233.813.10
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite:Swindon Town · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.4%25.4%31.2%
Public market44.1%25.3%30.6%

Swindon Town vs Doncaster — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Doncaster
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:02Doncaster
15Shots7
4Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Away Record: Doncaster

W 86D 37L 61
Over 2.556
Goals scored277

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026