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Notts County vs Gillingham

21 September 2024 at 15:00Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Referee: L. Swabey

Match Summary

Gillingham defeated Notts County 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2013

Notts County vs Gillingham Head to Head Results· 9

Notts County and Gillingham have met 9 times — Notts County won 5, Gillingham won 4, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Notts County leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (12 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2024.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
24 · 2.7/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
6/9 · 67%

Recent Meetings

03/02/26League Two
Match Details
13/09/25League Two
Match Details
01/02/25League Two
Match Details
09/02/24League Two
Match Details
21/10/23League Two
Match Details
03/05/15League One
Match Details
04/10/14League One
Match Details
07/12/13League One
Match Details
22/10/13League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Notts County have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Gillingham show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Notts County3wins
1draws8 meetings
Gillingham4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Gillingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.6%Draw 27.1%Away 27.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.903.603.60
Max2.003.753.71
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Notts County · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.4%25.3%25.3%
Public market49.0%25.0%26.0%

Notts County vs Gillingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Gillingham
Result vs. Market: Notts County (52%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Notts CountyHalf-time:01Gillingham
12Shots9
3Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Feb 202625/261.86/3.25/4.00
13 Sept 202525/262.32/3.17/3.08
1 Feb 202524/253.33/3.43/2.14
21 Sept 202424/251.94/3.69/3.67
9 Feb 202423/242.17/3.69/3.08
21 Oct 202323/242.58/3.64/2.57
21/10/0808/091.97/3.30/3.51
17/03/0908/092.62/3.28/2.58

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Away Record: Gillingham

W 140D 106L 122
Over 2.540
Goals scored446

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026