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Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon

26 October 2024 at 15:00Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Match Summary

Port Vale defeated AFC Wimbledon 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head Results· 9

Port Vale and AFC Wimbledon have met 9 times — Port Vale won 3, AFC Wimbledon won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. AFC Wimbledon leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.89 per match (13 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2011.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
26 · 2.9/match
Both scored
4/9 · 44%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

03/02/26League One
Match Details
11/10/25League One
Match Details
26/04/25League Two
Match Details
01/04/17League One
Match Details
17/12/16League One
Match Details
05/02/13League Two
Match Details
24/01/13League Two
Match Details
14/01/12League Two
Match Details
03/09/11League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. AFC Wimbledon show 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.7

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Port Vale.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

26 Apr 202524/252.26/3.17/3.31
Match Details
26 Oct 202424/252.15/3.27/3.39
Match Details
24/01/1312/134.17/3.45/1.87
2 May 201312/131.55/4.10/5.99
14/01/1211/121.98/3.42/3.70
9 Mar 201111/122.26/3.25/3.17

Market Summary

Margin: 6.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 30.6%Away 29.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.253.30
Max2.153.303.50
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Port Vale · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.6%28.4%27.9%
Public market43.2%28.6%28.2%

Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Port Vale
Result vs. Market: Port Vale (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:20AFC Wimbledon
10Shots21
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 186D 141L 170
Over 2.546
Goals scored641

Away Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026