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Chesterfield vs Milton Keynes Dons

1 January 2025 at 15:00SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Chesterfield 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Chesterfield vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 11

Chesterfield and Milton Keynes Dons have met 11 times — Chesterfield won 4, Milton Keynes Dons won 3, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Chesterfield leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.73 per match (13 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Milton Keynes Dons are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–2 in 2011.

Total goals
30 · 2.7/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

04/01/26League Two
Match Details
13/09/25League Two
Match Details
03/12/24League Two
Match Details
02/01/17League One
Match Details
22/11/16League One
Match Details
03/03/15League One
Match Details
02/01/15FA Cup
Match Details
06/12/14FA Cup
Match Details
19/08/14League One
Match Details
17/03/12League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 62 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Chesterfield have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Jan 202625/261.81/3.40/4.20
Match Details
13 Sept 202525/262.19/3.34/3.25
Match Details
1 Jan 202524/252.22/3.46/3.11
Match Details
3 Dec 202424/252.20/3.58/3.07
Match Details
24/11/0707/081.70/3.36/4.47
3 Oct 200807/082.86/3.28/2.39

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.1%Draw 28.9%Away 32.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.403.10
Max2.253.503.12
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite:Chesterfield · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.8%27.0%30.2%
Public market42.4%27.5%30.1%

Chesterfield vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Chesterfield (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ChesterfieldHalf-time:02Milton Keynes Dons
16Shots8
5Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Chesterfield

W 171D 113L 130
Over 2.549
Goals scored606

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026