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Carlisle vs Salford City

3 May 2025 at 15:00Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Referee: S. Mather

Match Summary

Carlisle and Salford City drew 2:2. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2019

Carlisle vs Salford City Head to Head Results· 8

Carlisle and Salford City have met 8 times — Carlisle won 4, Salford City won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Carlisle leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.25 per match (15 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (88%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2023.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
26 · 3.3/match
Both scored
7/8 · 88%
Over 2.5
6/8 · 75%

Recent Meetings

09/11/24League Two
Match Details
29/04/23League Two
Match Details
19/11/22League Two
Match Details
01/02/22League Two
Match Details
04/09/21League Two
Match Details
20/02/21League Two
Match Details
02/12/20League Two
Match Details
24/08/19League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Salford City show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

78%

Games with 3+ goals

89%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
9 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (19%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 May 202524/254.78/4.14/1.60
Match Details
9 Nov 202424/251.95/3.55/3.74
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29 Apr 202322/232.34/3.24/3.15
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19 Nov 202222/232.37/3.29/3.05
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1 Feb 202221/221.97/3.34/4.13
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4 Sept 202121/222.66/3.10/2.77
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20 Feb 202120/212.47/3.23/2.95
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2 Dec 202020/212.41/3.31/2.95
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24 Aug 201919/202.57/3.36/2.74
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 20.9%Draw 24.1%Away 62.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.754.101.58
Max4.814.191.62
Over 2.5: 62.5%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Salford City · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market19.3%22.1%58.6%
Public market19.6%22.8%57.6%
Δ0.4%0.6%1.0%

Carlisle vs Salford City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Salford City (63%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:21Salford City
8Shots16
3Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Salford City

W 129D 80L 104
Over 2.546
Goals scored426

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026