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Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons

9 August 2025 at 15:00Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Referee: M. Barlow

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Barrow 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2025.

Rivalry since 2023

Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 5

Barrow and Milton Keynes Dons have met 5 times — Barrow won 3, Milton Keynes Dons won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Barrow leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 11 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.20 per match (8 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Barrow are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2023.

3
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
11 · 2.2/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

03/04/26League Two
Match Details
05/04/25League Two
Match Details
11/02/25League Two
Match Details
03/02/24League Two
Match Details
14/10/23League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Barrow have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Barrow.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Apr 202625/261.37/4.50/7.50
Match Details
9 Aug 202525/262.53/3.31/2.70
Match Details
5 Apr 202524/252.48/3.22/2.81
Match Details
11 Feb 202524/252.04/3.32/3.75
Match Details
3 Feb 202423/242.35/3.37/3.00
Match Details
14 Oct 202323/242.09/3.46/3.54
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.5%Draw 30.2%Away 37.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.302.69
Max2.563.332.70
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.8%28.3%35.0%
Public market37.3%28.2%34.5%

Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Barrow (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BarrowHalf-time:00Milton Keynes Dons
7Shots12
0Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Barrow

W 83D 71L 122
Over 2.543
Goals scored303

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026