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Marseille vs Lille

14 December 2024 at 16:00Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
11
Away

Lille

Referee: W. Delajod

Match Summary

Marseille and Lille drew 1:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Marseille vs Lille Head to Head Results· 31

Marseille and Lille have met 31 times — Marseille won 12, Lille won 11, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 31 meetings. A combined 73 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.35 per match (39 for the home side, 34 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lille are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2018.

12
wins
Drawn
8
·
11
wins
Total goals
73 · 2.4/match
Both scored
17/31 · 55%
Over 2.5
15/31 · 48%

Recent Meetings

22/03/26Ligue 1
Match Details
05/12/25Ligue 1
Match Details
04/05/25Ligue 1
Match Details
05/04/24Ligue 1
Match Details
04/11/23Ligue 1
Match Details
20/05/23Ligue 1
Match Details
10/09/22Ligue 1
Match Details
16/01/22Ligue 1
Match Details
03/10/21Ligue 1
Match Details
03/03/21Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Lille show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Marseille

WWLDLW

Lille

LWDWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings
5
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Lille.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Mar 202625/261.91/3.75/3.80
Match Details
5 Dec 202525/262.34/3.59/2.96
Match Details
4 May 202524/252.36/3.34/3.12
Match Details
14 Dec 202424/252.18/3.47/3.32
Match Details
5 Apr 202423/242.04/3.41/3.75
Match Details
4 Nov 202323/242.20/3.56/3.14
Match Details
20 May 202322/232.43/3.64/2.76
Match Details
10 Sept 202222/231.98/3.62/3.83
Match Details
16 Jan 202221/222.32/3.37/3.13
Match Details
3 Oct 202121/222.47/3.28/2.98
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.9%Draw 28.8%Away 30.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.403.20
Max2.203.503.46
Over 2.5: 52.9%Under 2.5: 49.8%
Market favourite:Marseille · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.4%27.6%28.0%
Public market44.1%27.1%28.8%

Marseille vs Lille — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Marseille (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MarseilleHalf-time:10Lille
9Shots10
3Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Marseille

W 527D 305L 303
Over 2.547
Goals scored1676

Away Record: Lille

W 468D 328L 313
Over 2.542
Goals scored1446

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026