Ligue 1· Season 2025
Match Summary
Paris FC defeated Stade Brestois 29 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by W. Geubbels 14′, V. Marchetti 34′, R. Del Castillo 52′ (pen.). 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Stade Brestois 29 had 46% possession while Paris FC held 54%. Stade Brestois 29 had 23 shots (8 on target) compared to 7 (4 on target) for Paris FC. Expected goals: Stade Brestois 29 2.57 — Paris FC 1.55. Stade Brestois 29 made 4 substitutions, Paris FC made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Stade Brestois 29 and Paris FC — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Lopez
assist: W. Geubbels
Penalty
Match Statistics
Stade Brestois 29 had 46% possession against Paris FC's 54%. Stade Brestois 29 registered 23 shots (8 on target) while Paris FC managed 7 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 6–1. Fouls committed: 11–10.
Rivalry since 2015
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC Head to Head Results· 7
Stade Brestois 29 and Paris FC have met 7 times — Stade Brestois 29 won 3, Paris FC won 1, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Stade Brestois 29 leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 13 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.86 per match (6 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (14%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2026.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Stade Brestois 29 have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Paris FC show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.5
Average goals per game
100%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Paris FC dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Paris FC.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| Max | 2.31 | 3.66 | 3.10 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 41.9% | 26.4% | 31.7% |
| Public market | 42.2% | 27.1% | 30.6% |
| Δ | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% |
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Stade Brestois 29
Away Record: Paris FC
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 12 May 2026