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Toulouse vs Metz

19 October 2025 at 16:15Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
40
Away

Metz

Match Summary

Toulouse defeated Metz 4:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by F. Magri 2′, A. Donnum 8′ (pen.), Y. Gboho 79′, C. Cresswell 84′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Toulouse had 36% possession while Metz held 64%. Toulouse had 16 shots (7 on target) compared to 2 (2 on target) for Metz. Expected goals: Toulouse 2.54 — Metz 0.08. Toulouse made 5 substitutions, Metz made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Toulouse and Metz — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
2′
A. Donnum

Penalty

8′
Half Time
46′
G. AbuashviliT. Yegbe
F. MagriM. McKenzie
64′
D. SidibeM. Sauer
64′
71′
B. TraoreJ. Deminguet
71′
F. Ballo-ToureG. Tsitaishvili
D. MethalieW. Kamanzi
76′
EmersonnS. Hidalgo
76′
Y. GbohoJ. Vignolo
83′
83′
G. HeinI. Sane
84′
H. DialloJ. Asoro
C. Cresswell

assist: A. Donnum

84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Toulouse had 36% possession against Metz's 64%. Toulouse registered 16 shots (7 on target) while Metz managed 2 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–1. Fouls committed: 14–11.

Shots on Goal
7
2
Shots Off Goal
6
0
Total Shots
16
2
Blocked Shots
3
0
Shots inside the Box
13
1
Shots outside the Box
3
1
Fouls
14
11
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
36%
64%
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
3
Total Passes
325
608
Accurate Passes
272
545
Pass Accuracy
84%
90%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
0.08
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.21
-0.21

Rivalry since 2014

Toulouse vs Metz Head to Head Results· 10

Toulouse and Metz have met 10 times — Toulouse won 4, Metz won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Toulouse leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (18 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Toulouse are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2026.

Drawn
4
·
2
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.0/match
Both scored
6/10 · 60%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Meetings

15/03/26Ligue 1
Match Details
14/01/24Ligue 1
Match Details
01/10/23Ligue 1
Match Details
28/09/19Ligue 1
Match Details
03/03/18Ligue 1
Match Details
18/11/17Ligue 1
Match Details
14/05/17Ligue 1
Match Details
19/11/16Ligue 1
Match Details
04/04/15Ligue 1
Match Details
08/11/14Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Metz show 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings
1
wins

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Mar 202625/264.00/3.40/1.95
Match Details
19 Oct 202525/261.60/3.96/5.86
Match Details
14 Jan 202423/242.99/3.11/2.50
Match Details
1 Oct 202323/242.13/3.52/3.45
Match Details
28 Sept 201919/202.11/3.26/3.79
Match Details
18/11/1717/181.73/3.61/5.29
3 Mar 201817/182.72/3.09/2.83
19/11/1616/171.51/4.05/7.52
14/05/1716/172.57/3.30/2.84
11 Aug 201414/151.68/3.54/5.84

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 62.3%Draw 25.3%Away 17.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.603.805.71
Max1.614.126.00
Over 2.5: 53.2%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite:Toulouse · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.8%23.4%16.9%
Public market59.3%24.9%15.8%
Δ0.5%1.6%1.1%

Toulouse vs Metz — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Toulouse
Result vs. Market: Toulouse (62%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ToulouseHalf-time:20Metz
16Shots2
7Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Toulouse

W 263D 269L 383
Over 2.541
Goals scored948

Away Record: Metz

W 214D 212L 333
Over 2.541
Goals scored748

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026