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Metz vs Rennes

28 November 2025 at 19:45Stade Saint Symphorien, Metz
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Metz

01
Away

Rennes

Referee: Jeremy Stinat

Match Summary

Rennes defeated Metz 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by V. Rongier 22′. Metz had 52% possession while Rennes held 48%. Metz had 16 shots (5 on target) compared to 9 (2 on target) for Rennes. Expected goals: Metz 1.02 — Rennes 0.78. Metz made 5 substitutions, Rennes made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Metz and Rennes — 1 goal and 0 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
C. SabalyJ. Asoro
19′
22′
V. Rongier

assist: B. Embolo

Half Time
62′
D. CisseA. Rouault
62′
P. FrankowskiQ. Merlin
62′
L. BrassierL. Blas
J. DeminguetA. Toure
75′
F. Ballo-ToureM. Mbaye
76′
I. SaneM. Bokele Mputu
76′
76′
E. LepaulM. Meite
B. TraoreG. Abuashvili
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Metz had 52% possession against Rennes's 48%. Metz registered 16 shots (5 on target) while Rennes managed 9 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–3. Fouls committed: 9–8.

Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Total Shots
16
9
Blocked Shots
5
4
Shots inside the Box
11
5
Shots outside the Box
5
4
Fouls
9
8
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
4
1
Ball Possession
52%
48%
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
5
Total Passes
482
459
Accurate Passes
414
374
Pass Accuracy
86%
81%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
0.78
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.31
0.31

Rivalry since 2014

Metz vs Rennes Head to Head Results· 14

Metz and Rennes have met 14 times — Metz won 1, Rennes won 9, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Rennes leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.57 per match (9 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Rennes are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2022.

1
wins
Drawn
4
·
9
wins
Total goals
36 · 2.6/match
Both scored
7/14 · 50%
Over 2.5
6/14 · 43%

Recent Meetings

22/03/26Ligue 1
Match Details
04/05/24Ligue 1
Match Details
13/08/23Ligue 1
Match Details
20/03/22Ligue 1
Match Details
17/10/21Ligue 1
Match Details
20/03/21Ligue 1
Match Details
23/12/20Ligue 1
Match Details
04/12/19Ligue 1
Match Details
14/04/18Ligue 1
Match Details
09/12/17Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 61 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, Metz have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Rennes show 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Rennes

WLWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Rennes dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
2
10 meetings
8
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (24%) — the odds may underestimate Rennes.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Mar 202625/261.33/5.50/8.50
Match Details
28 Nov 202525/264.00/3.79/1.87
Match Details
4 May 202423/243.46/3.68/2.04
Match Details
13 Aug 202323/241.39/4.67/7.21
Match Details
20 Mar 202221/221.28/5.28/12.66
Match Details
17 Oct 202121/224.53/3.50/1.84
Match Details
20 Mar 202120/213.42/3.13/2.31
Match Details
23 Dec 202020/211.57/3.98/6.19
Match Details
4 Dec 201919/203.03/3.07/2.57
Match Details
12 Sept 201717/183.59/3.09/2.26

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 25.0%Draw 26.4%Away 53.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.003.601.85
Max4.003.971.89
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Rennes · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market24.2%24.4%51.3%
Public market23.4%26.0%50.6%
Δ0.8%1.6%0.7%

Metz vs Rennes — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rennes
Result vs. Market: Rennes (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MetzHalf-time:01Rennes
16Shots9
5Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Metz

W 214D 212L 333
Over 2.541
Goals scored748

Away Record: Rennes

W 451D 309L 413
Over 2.546
Goals scored1532

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026