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Lyon vs Nantes

30 November 2025 at 19:45Groupama Stadium, Lyon
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Lyon

30
Away

Nantes

Referee: Abdelatif Kherradji

Match Summary

Lyon defeated Nantes 3:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by Abner Vinicius 51′, M. Satriano 70′, M. Satriano 77′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Lyon had 72% possession while Nantes held 28%. Lyon had 20 shots (8 on target) compared to 6 (2 on target) for Nantes. Expected goals: Lyon 2.35 — Nantes 0.86. Lyon made 5 substitutions, Nantes made 5. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (Junior Mwanga 42′), Goal cancelled (Bahmed Deuff 87′).

Match Events

Key match events between Lyon and Nantes — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
VAR
42′Card upgrade
Half Time
58′
M. LahdoB. Guirassy
M. Satriano

assist: P. Sulc

70′
H. HateboerA. Maitland-Niles
72′
M. de CarvalhoA. Moreira
72′
M. Satriano

assist: A. Moreira

77′
78′
Kwon Hyeok-KyuU. Radakovic
M. SatrianoA. Karabec
85′
T. MortonO. Mangala
85′
VAR
87′Goal cancelled
89′
J. LepenantF. Centonze
89′
T. TatiMostafa Mohamed
T. TessmannK. Merah
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Lyon had 72% possession against Nantes's 28%. Lyon registered 20 shots (8 on target) while Nantes managed 6 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–0. Fouls committed: 14–9.

Shots on Goal
8
2
Shots Off Goal
10
4
Total Shots
20
6
Blocked Shots
2
0
Shots inside the Box
15
5
Shots outside the Box
5
1
Fouls
14
9
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
72%
28%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
4
Total Passes
612
243
Accurate Passes
553
175
Pass Accuracy
90%
72%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
0.86
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.29
0.29

Rivalry since 2013

Lyon vs Nantes Head to Head Results· 27

Lyon and Nantes have met 27 times — Lyon won 16, Nantes won 4, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Lyon leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 68 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.52 per match (46 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lyon are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2020.

16
wins
Drawn
7
·
4
wins
Total goals
68 · 2.5/match
Both scored
13/27 · 48%
Over 2.5
11/27 · 41%

Recent Meetings

07/02/26Ligue 1
Match Details
26/01/25Ligue 1
Match Details
06/10/24Ligue 1
Match Details
07/04/24Ligue 1
Match Details
20/12/23Ligue 1
Match Details
05/04/23Coupe de France
Match Details
17/03/23Ligue 1
Match Details
11/01/23Ligue 1
Match Details
14/05/22Ligue 1
Match Details
27/08/21Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lyon have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Nantes show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lyon

LLWWWW

Nantes

LWLLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Lyon dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

7
wins
draws
3
10 meetings
0
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (67%) — the odds may underestimate Lyon.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Feb 202625/264.75/3.75/1.73
Match Details
30 Nov 202525/261.44/4.79/7.08
Match Details
26 Jan 202524/253.34/3.48/2.13
Match Details
6 Oct 202424/251.79/3.75/4.46
Match Details
7 Apr 202423/243.23/3.32/2.28
Match Details
20 Dec 202323/241.67/4.18/4.60
Match Details
17 Mar 202322/231.61/4.12/5.62
Match Details
11 Jan 202322/233.31/3.36/2.25
Match Details
14 May 202221/221.44/5.20/6.26
Match Details
27 Aug 202121/224.65/3.95/1.70
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.7%Draw 20.9%Away 14.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.424.757.00
Max1.454.837.17
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Lyon · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market66.6%20.0%13.5%
Public market66.6%19.9%13.5%

Lyon vs Nantes — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lyon
Result vs. Market: Lyon (70%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LyonHalf-time:00Nantes
20Shots6
8Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lyon

W 624D 302L 285
Over 2.551
Goals scored1997

Away Record: Nantes

W 347D 291L 383
Over 2.540
Goals scored1137

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026