Ligue 1· Season 2025
Match Summary
Toulouse defeated Strasbourg 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by Emersonn 18′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Toulouse had 28% possession while Strasbourg held 72%. Toulouse had 6 shots (3 on target) compared to 3 (0 on target) for Strasbourg. Expected goals: Toulouse 0.50 — Strasbourg 0.05. Toulouse made 2 substitutions, Strasbourg made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Toulouse and Strasbourg — 1 goal and 6 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Toulouse had 28% possession against Strasbourg's 72%. Toulouse registered 6 shots (3 on target) while Strasbourg managed 3 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 1–2. Fouls committed: 21–13.
Rivalry since 2017
Toulouse vs Strasbourg Head to Head Results· 13
Toulouse and Strasbourg have met 13 times — Toulouse won 2, Strasbourg won 7, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Strasbourg leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 37 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.85 per match (15 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (77%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (69%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2019.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Strasbourg show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Strasbourg.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Max | 2.58 | 3.42 | 2.83 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 37.5% | 28.3% | 34.2% |
| Public market | 38.0% | 28.0% | 34.0% |
Toulouse vs Strasbourg — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Toulouse
Away Record: Strasbourg
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 12 May 2026