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Rennes vs Toulouse

28 February 2026 at 16:00Roazhon Park, Rennes
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Rennes

10

Match Summary

Rennes defeated Toulouse 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by A. Nordin 27′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Rennes had 65% possession while Toulouse held 35%. Rennes had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 9 (2 on target) for Toulouse. Expected goals: Rennes 0.89 — Toulouse 0.55. Rennes made 4 substitutions, Toulouse made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Rennes and Toulouse — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
J. VignoloEmersonn
M. TamariL. Blas
73′
S. SzymanskiD. Cisse
73′
74′
A. VossahM. Sauer
E. LepaulB. Embolo
81′
81′
W. KamanziJ. Russell-Rowe
A. NordinN. Mukiele
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Rennes had 65% possession against Toulouse's 35%. Rennes registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Toulouse managed 9 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–1. Fouls committed: 9–13.

Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Total Shots
10
9
Blocked Shots
2
1
Shots inside the Box
4
3
Shots outside the Box
6
6
Fouls
9
13
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
0
Ball Possession
65%
35%
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1
Total Passes
666
358
Accurate Passes
577
271
Pass Accuracy
87%
76%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
0.55
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.01
-0.01

Rivalry since 2010

Rennes vs Toulouse Head to Head Results· 29

Rennes and Toulouse have met 29 times — Rennes won 12, Toulouse won 11, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Rennes leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 89 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.07 per match (47 for the home side, 42 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 19 matches (66%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 20 games (69%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Toulouse are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2018.

12
wins
Drawn
6
·
11
wins
Total goals
89 · 3.1/match
Both scored
19/29 · 66%
Over 2.5
20/29 · 69%

Recent Meetings

29/10/25Ligue 1
Match Details
03/05/25Ligue 1
Match Details
10/11/24Ligue 1
Match Details
13/04/24Ligue 1
Match Details
17/12/23Ligue 1
Match Details
12/02/23Ligue 1
Match Details
12/11/22Ligue 1
Match Details
29/02/20Ligue 1
Match Details
27/10/19Ligue 1
Match Details
05/05/19Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Rennes have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Toulouse show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Rennes

WLWWWW

Toulouse

WWDLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Rennes.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202625/261.95/3.50/3.70
Match Details
29 Oct 202525/262.18/3.51/3.33
Match Details
3 May 202524/252.16/3.44/3.45
Match Details
10 Nov 202424/252.18/3.39/3.41
Match Details
13 Apr 202423/241.81/3.71/4.31
Match Details
17 Dec 202323/243.19/3.56/2.18
Match Details
12 Feb 202322/233.12/3.41/2.32
Match Details
12 Nov 202222/231.52/4.48/5.97
Match Details
29 Feb 202019/203.56/3.53/2.07
Match Details
27 Oct 201919/201.95/3.31/4.33
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.3%Draw 28.6%Away 27.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.503.70
Max1.953.503.70
Over 2.5: 53.2%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite:Rennes · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Rennes
Result vs. Market: Rennes (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

RennesHalf-time:10Toulouse
10Shots9
2Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rennes

W 451D 309L 413
Over 2.546
Goals scored1532

Away Record: Toulouse

W 263D 269L 383
Over 2.541
Goals scored948

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026