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Le Havre vs Marseille

10 May 2026 at 20:00Stade Océane, Le Havre
01
Referee: Benoît Bastien

Match Summary

Marseille defeated Le Havre 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by M. Greenwood 55′ (pen.). 6 yellow cards were shown. Le Havre had 50% possession while Marseille held 50%. Le Havre had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Marseille. Expected goals: Le Havre 1.14 — Marseille 1.21. Le Havre made 4 substitutions, Marseille made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Mason Greenwood 53′), Goal cancelled (Igor Paixão 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Le Havre and Marseille — 1 goal and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
VAR
53′Penalty confirmed
55′
F. DoucoureT. Pembele
72′
Y. ZouaouiE. K. Vinette
80′
87′
M. GreenwoodE. Lago
87′
Q. TimberN. Kamissoko
VAR
90+8′Goal cancelled
Full Time

Match Statistics

Le Havre had 50% possession against Marseille's 50%. Le Havre registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Marseille managed 8 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–0. Fouls committed: 20–22.

Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Total Shots
10
8
Blocked Shots
4
1
Shots inside the Box
8
5
Shots outside the Box
2
3
Fouls
20
22
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
4
3
Ball Possession
50%
50%
Yellow Cards
4
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
386
392
Accurate Passes
310
317
Pass Accuracy
80%
81%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
1.21
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.13
0.13

Lineups

Le Havre lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Didier Digard, while Marseille deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Habib Beye.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Le Havre is 6.84, compared to 6.92 for Marseille. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Le Havre's highest-rated starter is I. Soumare (7.06), while Marseille's best-rated player is M. Greenwood (7.37).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Le Havre have contributed 20 goals and 18 assists this season, led by I. Soumare (7G). Marseille's starters account for 35 goals and 28 assists, spearheaded by M. Greenwood (16G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Le Havre deploy 4 defenders rated 6.83 on average, against Marseille's 4-man backline averaging 6.86. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Le Havre field 5 midfielders averaging 6.90, versus Marseille's 5 rated 6.92. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Le Havre start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.52, compared to 1 for Marseille averaging 6.96. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 79% for Le Havre and 86% for Marseille. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Le Havre's starters have collected 37 yellow cards this season, compared to 42 for Marseille. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Le Havre's starting XI is 27.0 (youngest: L. Gourna-Douath (22), oldest: A. Samatta (33)), while Marseille average 26.8 (youngest: T. Nnadi (22), oldest: G. Rulli (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Le Havre's starters average 26 league appearances each, versus 24 for Marseille. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Le Havre4-2-3-14-2-3-1Marseille
GKDEFMIDFWD
99Diaw93Sangante15Seko4Lloris18Zouaoui19Gourna-.14Ndiaye13Doucoure17Boufal45Soumare25Samatta1Rulli28Pavard5Balerdi32Medina33Emerson6Nnadi23Hojbjerg10Greenwo.27Timber14Paixao9Gouiri

Substitutes

Coach: Didier Digard

Substitutes

Coach: Habib Beye

Le HavrePosition StrengthMarseille
6.84
Avg Rating
6.92
6.98Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.07
0G 1A0G 0A
6.83Defender (4 v 4)6.86
3G 3A1G 7A
6.90Midfielder (5 v 5)6.92
15G 13A26G 18A
6.52Forward (1 v 1)6.96
2G 1A8G 3A
Le Havre4-2-3-1
99GoalkeeperM. Diaw7.01A
93DefenderA. Sangante6.81G1A
15DefenderA. Seko6.8
4DefenderG. Lloris7.01G1A
18DefenderY. Zouaoui6.71G1A
19MidfielderL. Gourna-Douath6.8
14MidfielderR. Ndiaye7.04G4A
13MidfielderF. Doucoure6.83G1A
17MidfielderS. Boufal6.71G3A
45MidfielderI. Soumare7.17G5A
25ForwardA. Samatta6.52G1A
Marseille4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperG. Rulli7.1
28DefenderB. Pavard6.81G2A
5DefenderL. Balerdi6.91A
32DefenderF. Medina6.81A
33DefenderEmerson6.93A
6MidfielderT. Nnadi6.41A
23MidfielderP. Hojbjerg7.24G5A
10MidfielderM. Greenwood7.416G7A
27MidfielderQ. Timber6.7
14MidfielderI. Paixao7.06G5A
9ForwardA. Gouiri7.08G3A

Rivalry since 2023

Le Havre vs Marseille Head to Head Results· 5

Le Havre and Marseille have met 5 times — Le Havre won 0, Marseille won 5, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.80 per match (5 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Marseille are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–2 in 2025.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
24 · 4.8/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
5/5 · 100%

Recent Meetings

18/10/25Ligue 1
Match Details
10/05/25Ligue 1
Match Details
05/01/25Ligue 1
Match Details
19/05/24Ligue 1
Match Details
08/10/23Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 62 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Le Havre have recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat. Marseille show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Le Havre

LDDDDD

Marseille

WWLDLW

Match Prediction

Predicted winnerMarseille

Le Havre

10%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Marseille

45%

Away win

Statistical tip

Double chance: draw or Marseille

56%Form44%
62%Attack38%
53%Defence47%
21%Goals79%
0%Head-to-head100%
48.6%Overall51.4%

Injuries & Suspensions

Le Havre

  • DoubtfulA. Toure
  • DoubtfulS. Zagadou
  • DoubtfulA. Toure
  • DoubtfulS. Zagadou

Marseille

  • DoubtfulH. Abdelli
  • DoubtfulN. Aguerd
  • DoubtfulP. Aubameyang
  • DoubtfulC. Egan-Riley
  • DoubtfulG. Kondogbia
  • DoubtfulB. Nadir
  • DoubtfulH. J. Traore
  • DoubtfulT. Weah
  • DoubtfulH. Abdelli
  • DoubtfulN. Aguerd
  • DoubtfulP. Aubameyang
  • DoubtfulC. Egan-Riley
  • DoubtfulG. Kondogbia
  • DoubtfulB. Nadir
  • DoubtfulH. J. Traore
  • DoubtfulT. Weah

Bookmaker Odds

13 bookmakers

Best price

Le Havre

3.70

1xBet

Draw

3.84

1xBet

Marseille

2.06

1xBet

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Marseille dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Marseille.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 May 202625/263.50/3.70/2.00
Match Details
18 Oct 202525/261.33/5.44/8.83
Match Details
10 May 202524/255.93/4.52/1.50
Match Details
5 Jan 202524/251.30/5.59/9.07
Match Details
19 May 202423/244.44/3.72/1.79
Match Details
8 Oct 202323/241.46/4.66/6.57
Match Details
12 Mar 199999/00
8 May 199999/00
19/12/9898/99
29/08/9898/99

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.6%Draw 27.0%Away 50.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.503.702.00
Max3.503.702.00
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Marseille · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Marseille
Result vs. Market: Marseille (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Le HavreHalf-time:00Marseille
10Shots8
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Le Havre

W 107D 127L 197
Over 2.542
Goals scored394

Away Record: Marseille

W 527D 305L 303
Over 2.547
Goals scored1676

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026