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Metz vs Ajaccio

22 February 2025 at 19:00Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
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Metz

01
Referee: R. Lissorgue

Match Summary

Ajaccio defeated Metz 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 2 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Metz vs Ajaccio Head to Head Results· 7

Metz and Ajaccio have met 7 times — Metz won 4, Ajaccio won 0, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Metz leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.14 per match (10 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Metz are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2016.

4
wins
Drawn
3
·
0
wins
Total goals
15 · 2.1/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Meetings

04/11/24Ligue 2
Match Details
25/01/19Ligue 2
Match Details
20/08/18Ligue 2
Match Details
11/03/16Ligue 2
Match Details
23/10/15Ligue 2
Match Details
14/02/11Ligue 2
Match Details
27/08/10Ligue 2
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, Metz have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Ajaccio show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
3
8 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (66%) — the odds may underestimate Ajaccio.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27/08/1010/112.17/3.01/3.44
22 Feb 202524/251.44/4.15/7.24
Match Details
4 Nov 202424/254.16/3.14/1.96
Match Details
25 Jan 201918/193.87/2.97/2.21
Match Details
20 Aug 201818/191.78/3.52/4.72
Match Details
23/10/1515/162.47/2.94/3.20
3 Nov 201615/162.11/3.06/3.88
14/02/1110/112.10/2.95/3.71

Market Summary

Margin: 7.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.6%Draw 24.1%Away 13.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.434.006.50
Max1.444.257.73
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Metz · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market65.7%22.1%12.2%
Public market63.9%21.9%14.2%
Δ1.8%0.2%2.0%

Metz vs Ajaccio — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ajaccio
Result vs. Market: Metz (70%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MetzHalf-time:00Ajaccio
18Shots6
4Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Metz

W 195D 123L 96
Over 2.539
Goals scored564

Away Record: Ajaccio

W 259D 202L 247
Over 2.536
Goals scored756

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026