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PAU vs Bastia

6 March 2026 at 19:00Nouste Camp, Pau
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PAU

22
Away

Bastia

Referee: A. Valnet

Match Summary

PAU and Bastia drew 2:2. The match was played in Ligue 2 2025.

Rivalry since 2021

PAU vs Bastia Head to Head Results· 9

PAU and Bastia have met 9 times — PAU won 2, Bastia won 3, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Bastia leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (13 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (78%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. PAU are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–6 in 2023.

2
wins
Drawn
4
·
3
wins
Total goals
27 · 3.0/match
Both scored
7/9 · 78%
Over 2.5
3/9 · 33%

Recent Meetings

15/08/25Ligue 2
Match Details
24/01/25Ligue 2
Match Details
22/10/24Ligue 2
Match Details
10/05/24Ligue 2
Match Details
26/09/23Ligue 2
Match Details
20/05/23Ligue 2
Match Details
13/01/23Ligue 2
Match Details
05/02/22Ligue 2
Match Details
21/08/21Ligue 2
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 26 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, PAU have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Bastia show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

PAU

LLLWWL

Bastia

LWDWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
5
10 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Bastia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Mar 202625/262.25/3.20/3.10
Match Details
15 Aug 202525/261.77/3.42/4.60
Match Details
24 Jan 202524/251.93/3.37/4.13
Match Details
22 Oct 202424/252.30/3.11/3.23
Match Details
10 May 202423/241.94/3.59/3.79
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26 Sept 202323/241.69/3.67/4.86
Match Details
20 May 202322/232.25/3.25/3.26
Match Details
13 Jan 202322/232.07/3.17/3.85
Match Details
5 Feb 202221/222.07/3.21/3.72
Match Details
21 Aug 202121/222.34/3.09/3.22
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.4%Draw 31.3%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.203.10
Max2.253.203.10
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:PAU · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: PAU (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PAUHalf-time:21Bastia
7Shots16
2Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: PAU

W 72D 62L 86
Over 2.550
Goals scored270

Away Record: Bastia

W 145D 118L 146
Over 2.538
Goals scored483

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026