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Watford vs Swansea

12 September 2015 at 15:00Vicarage Road, Watford
10
Referee: Robert Madley

Match Summary

Watford defeated Swansea 1:0. The match was played in Premier League 2015.

Rivalry since 2016

Watford vs Swansea Head to Head Results· 16

Watford and Swansea have met 16 times — Watford won 6, Swansea won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Swansea leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (14 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2022.

6
wins
Drawn
3
·
7
wins
Total goals
32 · 2.0/match
Both scored
7/16 · 44%
Over 2.5
6/16 · 38%

Recent Meetings

31/01/26Championship
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23/08/25Championship
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12/03/25Championship
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05/11/24Championship
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06/03/24Championship
Match Details
24/10/23Championship
Match Details
30/12/22Championship
Match Details
05/10/22Championship
Match Details
08/05/21Championship
Match Details
02/01/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 40 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Watford have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Swansea show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Watford

LLLLLD

Swansea

WDWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
1
6 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Dec 201717/181.69/3.75/5.60
Match Details
23 Sept 201717/182.38/3.26/3.24
Match Details
22/10/1616/172.34/3.35/3.31
15/04/1716/172.46/3.27/2.98
18 Jan 201615/162.43/3.22/3.19
Match Details
12 Sept 201515/162.75/3.25/2.77
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 3.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.4%Draw 30.8%Away 36.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.753.002.75
Max2.753.402.80
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.6%29.3%35.0%
Public market35.6%28.8%35.6%

Watford vs Swansea — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Watford (36%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:00Swansea
17Shots8
6Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 73D 66L 165
Over 2.553
Goals scored310

Away Record: Swansea

W 82D 66L 118
Over 2.549
Goals scored306

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026