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Aston Villa vs Manchester United

6 November 2022 at 14:00Villa Park, Birmingham

Match Summary

Aston Villa defeated Manchester United 3:1. The match was played in Premier League 2022.

Rivalry since 2010

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Head to Head Results· 28

Aston Villa and Manchester United have met 28 times — Aston Villa won 2, Manchester United won 20, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Manchester United leads the head-to-head with 20 victories from 28 meetings. A combined 85 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.04 per match (25 for the home side, 60 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 19 games (68%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2022.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
85 · 3.0/match
Both scored
16/28 · 57%
Over 2.5
19/28 · 68%

Recent Meetings

10/11/22League Cup
Match Details
23/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Manchester United show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Mar 202625/261.73/4.00/4.50
Match Details
21 Dec 202525/262.09/3.67/3.40
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25 May 202524/254.37/4.23/1.72
Match Details
6 Oct 202424/252.21/3.77/3.06
Match Details
11 Feb 202423/242.14/3.82/3.09
Match Details
26 Dec 202323/242.59/3.57/2.57
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30 Apr 202322/231.77/3.89/4.42
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6 Nov 202222/233.36/3.64/2.14
Match Details
15 Jan 202221/222.89/3.47/2.41
Match Details
25 Sept 202121/221.38/5.04/8.04
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.8%Draw 27.4%Away 46.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.502.10
Max3.403.802.22
Over 2.5: 51.5%Under 2.5: 51.0%
Market favourite:Manchester United · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.0%27.0%44.1%
Public market29.1%25.2%45.7%
Δ0.1%1.7%1.6%

Aston Villa vs Manchester United — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Aston Villa
Result vs. Market: Manchester United (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Aston VillaHalf-time:21Manchester United
6Shots8
4Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Aston Villa

W 407D 317L 422
Over 2.549
Goals scored1443

Away Record: Manchester United

W 749D 277L 234
Over 2.553
Goals scored2340

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026