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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea

1 January 2023 at 16:30The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Referee: P. Bankes

Match Summary

Nottingham Forest and Chelsea drew 1:1. The match was played in Premier League 2022.

Rivalry since 2017

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Head to Head Results· 10

Nottingham Forest and Chelsea have met 10 times — Nottingham Forest won 2, Chelsea won 6, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Chelsea leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (10 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2017.

Drawn
2
·
6
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.0/match
Both scored
5/10 · 50%
Over 2.5
5/10 · 50%

Recent Meetings

04/05/26Premier League
Match Details
18/10/25Premier League
Match Details
25/05/25Premier League
Match Details
06/10/24Premier League
Match Details
11/05/24Premier League
Match Details
02/09/23Premier League
Match Details
13/05/23Premier League
Match Details
05/01/20FA Cup
Match Details
05/01/19FA Cup
Match Details
20/09/17League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Chelsea show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings
5
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (18%) — the odds may underestimate Chelsea.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 May 202625/261.70/4.00/4.75
Match Details
18 Oct 202525/263.74/3.84/1.95
Match Details
25 May 202524/253.08/3.75/2.21
Match Details
6 Oct 202424/251.49/4.60/6.40
Match Details
11 May 202423/243.38/3.88/2.03
Match Details
2 Sept 202323/241.36/4.64/8.21
Match Details
13 May 202322/231.50/4.39/6.46
Match Details
1 Jan 202322/235.14/3.83/1.70
Match Details
9 Dec 199898/99

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 19.4%Draw 26.1%Away 58.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min5.003.701.70
Max5.433.981.70
Over 2.5: 49.5%Under 2.5: 52.4%
Market favourite:Chelsea · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market18.0%24.5%57.5%
Public market19.0%25.0%55.9%
Δ1.0%0.5%1.5%

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Chelsea (59%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:01Chelsea
12Shots7
5Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 98D 87L 121
Over 2.548
Goals scored378

Away Record: Chelsea

W 666D 309L 285
Over 2.551
Goals scored2156

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026