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Nottingham Forest vs Burnley

18 September 2023 at 19:45The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Referee: R. Jones

Match Summary

Nottingham Forest and Burnley drew 1:1. The match was played in Premier League 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Head to Head Results· 13

Nottingham Forest and Burnley have met 13 times — Nottingham Forest won 3, Burnley won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burnley leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 35 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.69 per match (15 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (69%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2011.

Drawn
4
·
6
wins
Total goals
35 · 2.7/match
Both scored
9/13 · 69%
Over 2.5
5/13 · 38%

Recent Meetings

19/04/26Premier League
Match Details
20/09/25Premier League
Match Details
19/05/24Premier League
Match Details
30/08/23League Cup
Match Details
23/02/16Championship
Match Details
20/10/15Championship
Match Details
22/02/14Championship
Match Details
23/11/13Championship
Match Details
24/09/13League Cup
Match Details
01/04/13Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Burnley show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
4 meetings
0
wins

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

19 Apr 202625/261.50/4.20/7.00
Match Details
20 Sept 202525/263.42/3.38/2.20
Match Details
19 May 202423/242.93/3.65/2.29
Match Details
18 Sept 202323/242.16/3.43/3.23
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.3%Draw 29.2%Away 31.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.203.10
Max2.233.583.33
Over 2.5: 52.1%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite:Nottingham Forest · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.6%27.2%29.2%
Public market43.4%27.3%29.4%

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Nottingham Forest (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:01Burnley
14Shots10
4Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 98D 87L 121
Over 2.548
Goals scored378

Away Record: Burnley

W 92D 94L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored378

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026