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Luton vs Manchester United

18 February 2024 at 16:30Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Referee: D. Coote

Match Summary

Manchester United defeated Luton 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2023.

Rivalry since 2020

Luton vs Manchester United Head to Head Results· 2

Luton and Manchester United have met 2 times — Luton won 0, Manchester United won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Manchester United leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (0 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–3 in 2020.

0
wins
Drawn
0
·
Total goals
4 · 2.0/match
Both scored
0/2 · 0%
Over 2.5
1/2 · 50%

Recent Meetings

11/11/23Premier League
Match Details
22/09/20League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 03 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Luton have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Manchester United show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Manchester United dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (23%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester United.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Feb 202423/244.02/4.04/1.79
Match Details
11 Nov 202323/241.31/5.54/9.29
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 24.9%Draw 24.7%Away 56.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.904.001.75
Max4.174.131.81
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.6%
Market favourite:Manchester United · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market23.2%23.4%53.4%
Public market23.7%23.7%52.6%

Luton vs Manchester United — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Manchester United
Result vs. Market: Manchester United (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:12Manchester United
22Shots21
4Shots on target9

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 6D 8L 24
Over 2.571
Goals scored52

Away Record: Manchester United

W 751D 277L 234
Over 2.554
Goals scored2346

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026